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Grand Theft Economics


US: Great Depression Jobs Parallel May Not be Far Flung
When economists tell us the current U.S. slump could never turn into another Great Depression, they all point to one thing: one of four Americans was out of work in the 1930s.

But since the definition of joblessness has changed over the years, this expert assessment might be too rosy.
US Jobs recovery months away
Any U.S. job market recovery is at least several months away, staffing industry executives say, citing comments from customers, weak consumer spending and evidence in the December jobs report that employers are cutting hours and overtime.

The economy shed 524,000 jobs outside the farm sector last month, fewer than expected, and the unemployment rate jumped to 7.2 percent, the highest since January 1993. Job losses in October and November were bigger than initially estimated.

"When we look at where companies are, in the conversations they're having, we anticipate continued job losses for at least a couple quarters," said Jeff Joerres, chief executive of Manpower Inc, one of the world's largest staffing and outplacement firms.

The North American chief of rival Adecco SA said a decline in overtime and total hours worked suggests more job losses ahead, since employers typically cut hours before they eliminate jobs.
Perfect Storm Hits Once Bullish India
A year ago a seemingly unstoppable global juggernaut, the once-confident India is now reeling from a perfect storm of a corporate IT scandal, the Mumbai attacks and economic slowdown.

Suddenly the talk is not of easy returns, unending high growth, or "India arrives." The chatter is increasingly of risk.
Enduring Priorities in an Age of Change: War and Profits Over People
If you want a glimpse of the fundamental moral obscenity that underlies our bold new era of hope and change, look no further than Barack Obama's promise this week to "overhaul" Social Security and Medicare. This effort to cut back on support for the sick, the old, the weak, the unfortunate and the abandoned will be a "central part" of the new administration's economic program, a linchpin of its struggle to curb federal spending, Obama declared.
US: 2.6 Million Jobs Lost in 2008
Annual loss is biggest since the end of World War II. Payrolls shrink by 524,000 in December, and unemployment rate rises to 7.2%.

Another sobering government labor report released Friday showed the economy lost 524,000 jobs in December, bringing 2008's total job loss to just below 2.6 million.
Little noticed provision of loan bars autoworkers from striking against GM
As GM chief slides, autoworkers forced to accept cuts, strike provision

A little-noticed provision buried in the Bush Administration's $13.4 billion loan package to General Motors will prohibit the United Auto Workers from launching a strike as long as the company receives funds from the federal government.
China: Mass Unemployment Looms Up
BEIJING - Twenty years after the Chinese communist party deployed tanks to crush protests by disgruntled students on Tiananmen square, the country is facing the same volatile mix of rising unemployment and economic gloom that sparked the 1989 mass pro-democracy marches.

Now, as then, unsettling discontent is simmering among university graduates pouring out of academia and unable to find jobs.

Fearful of pockets of social discontent growing in the cities, Chinese leaders are now offering students their tuition fees back if they accept jobs in the country's remote and underdeveloped areas.
Ethanol's Federal Subsidy Grab Leaves Little For Solar, Wind And Geothermal Energy
WASHINGTON: As Congress and the incoming Obama administration plan the nation's next major investments in green energy, they need to take a hard, clear-eyed look at Department of Energy data documenting corn-based ethanol's stranglehold on federal renewable energy tax credits and subsidies.

An Environmental Working Group (EWG) report released today uses data from a little noticed analysis buried in an April 2008 report from the federal Energy Information Administration (EIA). The information unearthed by EWG shows that solar, wind and other renewable energy sources have struggled to gain significant market share with modest federal support. Meanwhile, corn-based ethanol has accounted for fully three-quarters of the tax benefits and two-thirds of all federal subsidies allotted for renewable energy sources in 2007.

The corn-based ethanol industry received $3 billion in tax credits in 2007, more than four times the $690 million in credits available to companies trying to expand all other forms of renewable energy, including solar, wind and geothermal power.
From east to west, a chain collapses
Guardian Recycle
© Guardian.co.uk
Recycle system collapse

Millions to lose their jobs as world's largest importer of waste hit by collapse in demand for packaging

Dongxiaokou, on the outskirts of Beijing, is a village composed of scrap: blocks of crushed metal are stacked in a tower, heaps of plastic bottles glint in the sunshine and piles of newspapers and rags fill yards. But the merchants all have the same story - they have lost tens of thousands of pounds in a few months, wiping out years of hard work.

"It's a canary in the coalmine: it's the front and back end of industry," said Adam Minter, who runs the Shanghai Scrap blog and specialises in the metal trade. "Until about eight weeks ago, for example, the entire [US] west coast paper market was sent to China and most of it was sent south. It was processed and made into packaging for products that then shipped back to the US ... But when US consumer demand dropped off, that broke the cycle."

Across the scrap trade, prices have halved or worse in a matter of months. Each link in the chain is disintegrating, from factories to scrapyards to collectors such as Wu, 56, a former farmer who now plans to return to Hubei province.

Official media reported that four-fifths of China's recycling units had closed and that millions will eventually be left without employment.
Falling US consumer spending making tough times tougher
CSM consumer
© Craig Ruttle/AP
Not buying: Pedestrians pass a men’s store on 8th Ave. in New York. Consumers are cutting back sharply.


Personal consumption may fall this year to levels not seen since 1942, some economists say.

The pullback in US consumer spending, which accelerated ahead of the holiday season, appears likely to be sharper in 2009 than any such retrenchment since World War II.

That sobering forecast from economists goes a long way toward explaining why they generally support the idea of a large government stimulus effort, as President-elect Obama urged Thursday.

As large as it is, the stimulus won't fill the hole created by consumers. The pullback from shopping malls won't last forever, but for now, it's a reaction to tough times that is making these times even harder.

   

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