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Scientists say they
have been able to monitor people's thoughts via scans
of their brains.
Teams at University College London and University of
California in LA could tell what images people were looking
at or what sounds they were listening to.
The US team say their study proves brain scans do relate
to brain cell electrical activity.
The UK team say such research might help paralysed people
communicate, using a "thought-reading" computer.
In their Current Biology study, funded by the Wellcome
Trust, people were shown two different images at the
same time - a red stripy pattern in front of the right
eye and a blue stripy pattern in front of the left.
The volunteers wore special goggles which meant each
eye saw only what was put in front of it.
In that situation, the brain then switches awareness
between both images, sometimes seeing one image and sometimes
the other.
While people's attention switched between the two images,
the researchers used fMRI (functional Magnetic Resonance
Imaging) brain scanning to monitor activity in the visual
cortex.
It was found that focusing on the red or the blue patterns
led to specific, and noticeably different, patterns of
brain activity.
The fMRI scans could reliably be used to predict which
of the images the volunteer was looking at, the researchers
found.
Thought-provoking?
The US study, published in Science, took the
same theory and applied it to a more everyday example.
They used electrodes placed inside the
skull to monitor the responses of brain cells in the auditory
cortex of two surgical patients as they watched a clip
of "The Good, the Bad and the Ugly".
They used this data to accurately predict
the fMRI signals from the brains of another 11 healthy
patients who watched the clip while lying in a scanner.
Professor Itzhak Fried, the neurosurgeon
who led the research, said: "We were able to tell
one part of a scene from another, and we could tell one
type of sound from another."
Dr John-Dylan Haynes of the UCL Institute of Neurology,
who led the research, told the BBC News website: "What
we need to do now is create something like speech-recognition
software, and look at which parts of the brain are specifically
active in a person."
He said the study's findings proved
the principle that fMRI scans could "read thoughts",
but he said it was a very long way from creating a machine
which could read anyone's mind.
But Dr Haynes said: "We could tell
from a very limited subset of possible things the person
is possibly seeing."
"One day, someone will come up with a machine in
a baseball cap.
"Then it really could be helpful in everyday applications."
He added: "Our study represents an important but
very early stage step towards eventually building a machine
that can track a person's consciousness on a second-by-second
basis.
"These findings could be used to help develop or
improve devices that help paralyzed people communicate
through measurements of their brain activity.
But he stressed: "We are still a long way off from
developing a universal mind-reading machine."
Dr Fried said: "It has been known that different
areas of the temporal lobe are activated by faces, or
houses.
"This UCL finding means it is not necessary to use
strikingly different stimuli to tell what is activating
areas of the brain."
Comment:
The first thought that comes to mind in reading this article
is that if this is what is being made public, then they
are probably much further along in the military and intelligence
applications of this technology. We are well aware that
much research is condiucted in above top secret programmes
that are never made public. Floating a story such as this
serves as a form of disinformation because it allows the
average citizen to be made aware that such research is
underway but boxes in their awareness because"we
are still a long way off from developing a universal mind-reading
machine".
The second thought is that they are admitting that at
the present time "We could tell from a very limited
subset of possible things the person is possibly seeing."
Let's look at this admission.
If one were attempting to control an individual for a
certain task or within a limited range of ideas, then
being able to read "from a very limited subset of
possible things" is all you would need.
In the study, subjects were shown scenes from Sergio
Leone's epic masterpiece The Good, the Bad, and the
Ugly, an interesting choice of film from the point
of view that Leone eschewed the simple dichotomy of good/bad
and added a third term, "the Ugly". The Third
Force? Having established the reaction of one subject
to the scenes, the researchers were able to predict the
fMRI signals from others, not difficult in a mechanical
world of mechanical beings. But if they could do this
for a spaghetti western, couldn't they also do this for
a scene of a jetliner crashing into a tall office building?
Of course, reading reactions is one thing. Sending a
message the other way is something else.
According to declassified financial records and the
testimony of retired C.I.A. officers, the C.I.A. had
by 1961 developed implant devices for dogs, making it
possible for their handlers to guide them through various
courses by remote control. During this same time frame
they also developed techniques for disrupting bodily
functions with radio waves. By the mid-1960's they had
successfully developed and field-tested nonaural voice
communications with both radio and micro waves; and
by 1977 they had developed and field-tested a rudimentary
form of electromechanical "mind reading."
But despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary, they
have steadfastly maintained that they failed entirely
in their quest to control the human mind. [Cited in
Mass
Mind Control by Laura Knight-Jadczyk]
Richard Dolan writes in his well-documented book UFOs
and the National Security State:
The most noteworthy feature of the American national
security state during the late 1960s was its covert
pervasiveness throughout American society. First, Hoover's
FBI. In 1968, the bureau initiated a COINTEL program
[...]
Next to the bureau, the military intelligence services
became the most important component of the domestic
intelligence scene. Army intelligence had nearly unlimited
funds, extensive manpower, specialized personnel, deep
planning and training resources, and the most sophisticated
communications and data processing capability. [...]
The army's intelligence surveillance did not focus
on tactical and reconnaissance data, but on political
and ideological intelligence within the United States.
(This was wholly illegal.) [...]
Then there was the CIA. By the late 1960s, there were
more spies than diplomats in the State Department, or
employees in the Department of Labor. [...] When the
Weather Underground, a radical splinter of the SDS,
had an "acid test" to detect agents provocateurs,
they had no idea that the CIA had been tripping on LSD
throughout the 1950s, creating a special caste of "enlightened
agents" for precisely these occasions. [Based on this,
we wonder about "agents provocateur" in the New Age
and UFO community who are "specially trained?"]
The agency continued its work on mind control. Following
the work of Dr. Jose Delgado [experiments in] Electrical
Stimulation of the Brain [were conducted.] This involves
implanting electrodes into the brain and body, with
the result that the subject's memory, impulses, and
feelings could all be controlled. Moreover, ESB could
evoke hallucinations, as well as fear and pleasure.
"It could literally manipulate the human will at will,"
[said Dr. Rober Keefe, a neurosurgeon at Tulane University.]
In 1968, George Estabrooks, another spook scientist,
spoke indiscreetly to a reporter for the Providence
Evening Bulletin. "The key to creating an effective
spy or assassin, rests in creating
a multiple personality with the aid of hypnosis,"
a procedure which he described as "child's play."
By early 1969, teams within the CIA were running a
number of bizarre experiments in mind control under
the name Operation Often. In addition to the normal
assortment of chemists, biologists, and conventional
scientists, the operation employed
psychics and experts in demonology.
Over at the NSA, all one can say with certainty is
that its budget dwarfed all others within the intelligence
community.
So mind control is not just something from the movies.
It works on many levels, from the control of the media
in shaping acceptable beliefs and defining what is "unthinkable",
to more active technology that can beam thoughts and sounds
into people's heads.
Looking at the sorry state of people's awareness in the
United States today, we wonder how much of this is being
used to keep the population docile and convinced that
it can do nothing in the face of two stolen presidential
elections, the 9/11 hoax and its subsequent neo-con expansionist
agenda, and imminent economic collapse and flu epidemic?
Because let's get one thing straight: the people in power
will stop at nothing to implement their plans. For decades,
billions of dollars have been funneled into secret projects,
many of which are staffed, or were, by scientists who
were brought over from the "defeated" Nazi Germany,
people whose scruples and moral character were apparent
from the nature of the regime under which they honed their
skills. If in the early sixties, these people were able
to control dogs through implants, given the advance in
technological sophistication in the intervening years,
can we even imagine what they might be able to do today?
We look at the US today and we see a citizenry that largely
accepts its fate. Politics is reduced to voting for two
look-alike parties every few years, two parties beholden
to corporate interests. There is no labour movement that
can sound the call to take to the streets and show one's
opposition to the Bush Reich politics. There is no organised
opposition on any level. You might even go so far as to
suggest that the US population has lost the ability to
think. Certainly, it is a skill
that is no longer taught in the US public school system.
Compare the situation in the USA to that in France. The
French just defeated the proposal to approve the proposed
European Constitution. When the government makes plans
to cut social services, the workers go to the streets.
When the government makes plans to change the educational
system to bring it more in line with the "needs of
business", the students go into the streets. While
there are historical and cultural reasons that might explain
this difference, we do not think that it is enough. We
think that the US population as a whole may well be subjected
to certain forms of "mind control". For more
on how this might work, we refer you to Laura's article
Something
Wicked This Way Comes, as well as her book The
Secret History of the World.
Whether the forms of mind control, or thought control,
are limited to the control of the mass media, or whether
they extend to include the technological means discussed
above, the solution for individuals is the same: knowledge
and awareness. If you know yourself, you can sense when
a thought is not your own. Have you ever thought something,
been surprised that you would think such a thing, and
then wondered where that came
from? It may simply be the effect of hearing the idea
repeated around you: after hearing your colleagues at
work making rascist remarks about Arabs, you might find
yourself having the same thought the next time you see
a news report on "Islamic terrorists". But if
you are conscious of your thoughts, you can catch yourself.
You can reject it, see that it is not "your"
thought, and discard it.
This is the basis of that quality that Americans value
so highly in the abstract while appearing incapable of
putting into practice: independent thinking.
But it is never too late. All it takes is a moment of
awareness, that flash of conscience that throws reality
into relief. Seize that feeling, grab it and hold onto
it dearly. Take that light and shine it on all of your
thoughts and ideas, your preconceptions and assumptions.
Begin to look down the rabbit hole and start the quest
to make your mind your own.
The dollar closed at 0.8099 euros
last week, down 1.3% from last week's close of 0.8208
euros. That puts the euro at 1.2348 dollars compared
to 1.2184 dollars the previous Friday. Oil closed at
62.31 dollars a barrel on Friday, a record weekly close,
and up 2.4% from the close of $60.83 a barrel the previous
Friday. Looking at oil in euros, a barrel of oil would
cost 50.46 euros, up from 49.93 euros a week earlier.
Gold closed at 442.90 dollars an ounce, up 1.6% from
$435.80 on the previous Friday. Gold in euros would
be 358.68 euros an ounce, up 0.3% from 357.68 on the
previous Friday. The gold/oil ratio closed at 7.11 down
0.7% from 7.16 last week, meaning the price of oil rose
faster than the price of gold. In the U.S. stock market
last week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at
10,561.14 down 0.8% from last week's close of 10,640.91.
The NASDAQ closed at 2.178.92, down 0.3% from last week's
close of 2184.83. The yield on the ten-year U.S. Treasury
Bond was 4.39%, up ten basis points from the previous
Friday's close of 4.29% continuing a steady climb in
long-term U.S. interest rates.
While the sharp drop in the dollar and U.S. stocks
and the sharp increase in the price of gold and oil
would seem to be ominous signs for the U.S. economy,
the media was taking it in stride, at least, attributing
the fall in stocks to the strong U.S. employment report
for July and the rise in oil to a lack of refining capacity:
Oil climbed within pennies of its all-time high on
Friday as U.S. refinery outages hampered efforts to
meet strong demand in the world's biggest consumer.
U.S. light sweet crude settled up 93 cents at $62.31
a barrel - the highest settlement on record - after
climbing as high as $62.45, which was 5 cents shy
of the all-time record set just Wednesday.
London Brent crude gained 95 cents to $61.07 a barrel.
"It's no secret that refineries
are the problem. There wouldn't be a problem if there
was any slack in the system," said Tony Nunan,
a manager at Mitsubishi Corp.'s international energy
business in Tokyo.
A half-dozen refineries in the United
States have been forced into unplanned shutdowns since
late July and some have had to delay planned restarts,
leaving the market on edge after U.S. gasoline stocks
fell a sharp 4 million barrels last week.
Gasoline inventories have fallen into the lower half
of their seasonal average, while demand is running
1.1 percent stronger than last year with a month left
in the summer season.
U.S. supplies of distillates, which include heating
oil, rose 1.5 million barrels last week to stand almost
3 percent higher than a year ago, but even stronger
demand growth for these fuels coupled with refinery
trip-ups could dent supplies before winter.
"Demand is so high and capacity is so low, we
can go from comfortable to uncomfortable inventories
within a month," Nunan said.
Adding to concerns was news of a
pipe bomb attack at PDVSA's Maracaibo headquarters
in Venezuela, the world's No. 5 oil exporter. PDVSA
said the three pipe bombs that exploded caused no
damage or injuries.
Additional disruptions could come from an unusually
active Atlantic hurricane season, which has already
produced eight named storms and could culminate in
as many as 21 tropical storms and 11 hurricanes, U.S.
government weather forecasters have said.
OPEC PUMPS MORE
Prices have rallied more than 40 percent this year
despite OPEC pumping at its highest rate in more than
25 years, with traders fearing the cartel's thinned
cushion of spare production capacity may be insufficient
to compensate for any unexpected outages.
Total OPEC production rose 290,000 bpd to 30.24 million
bpd in July, the highest since December 1979, as Iraq
boosted exports and the United Arab Emirates restored
output at oilfields after maintenance, a Reuters survey
showed.
OPEC is due to meet next month to discuss its output
policy, where some members favor suspending quotas
to allow a production free-for-all, Nigeria's top
oil official Edmund Daukoru said on Thursday.
Most members, aside from Saudi Arabia, are already
pumping flat out.
Daukoru said OPEC might decide to keep production
quotas unchanged or raise them, but would not cut
output.
What was that about a pipe bomb attack in Venezuela?
Who would order an attack on the headquarters of Venezuela's
national oil company except CIA backed rebels? Why were
the refineries shut down in the United States? Why isn't
Saudi Arabia pumping "flat out" like the article
says the rest of OPEC countries are? Could it be that
the United States wants high oil prices? High oil prices
certainly have helped Bush-connected oil sector corporations.
Something to keep in mind when listening to the Peak
Oil chorus.
The consensus about the July U.S. jobs report which
showed a rise of 207,000 jobs was that it showed the
U.S. economy is growing at a healthy rate and that it
will lead the U.S. Federal Reserve Board to keep raising
interest rates.
U.S. job growth picked up last month as employers
added 207,000 workers to their payrolls, a healthy
gain that led Wall Street to increase bets on rate
hikes from the Federal Reserve.
The unemployment rate held steady
at the 5 percent reached in June, the lowest level
since September 2001, the Labor Department said on
Friday.
"This is a crystal clear indication that the
labor markets are very healthy and it reinforces the
notion that the economy is growing in a healthy, sustainable
way," said Dana Johnson, chief economist at Comerica
in Detroit.
The Fed, which has raised the benchmark overnight
lending rate at each of its last nine meetings, is
widely expected to bump it up another quarter-percentage
point to 3.5 percent when officials gather on Tuesday.
"The Fed is going to keep chugging along,"
said Robert MacIntosh, chief economist at Eaton Vance
Management in Boston.
Financial markets see the rate hitting 4 percent
by year end, although the jobs report had some betting
it could move even higher.
The payrolls gain, spurred on by service-sector hiring,
was stronger than expected by economists who had looked
for an increase of 183,000 with the jobless rate steady.
Prices for U.S. government bonds fell sharply on
the data, pushing yields higher, the dollar strengthened
and stock prices fell as markets braced for further
Fed interest rate increases.
The Bush administration hailed the report as a sign
of the economy's vigor. "This shows that the
fundamentals of our economy are strong and that we
are continuing on a positive path of growth and prosperity,"
U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow said in a statement.
While some economists thought the report might be
skewed by Hurricane Dennis, which battered the Florida
panhandle in mid-July, the department said the storm
appeared to have no discernible impact on the figures.
A net upward revision of 42,000 to the combined job
count for May and June contributed to the report's
solid tenor. U.S. employers added 166,000 workers
in June and 126,000 in May.
The pickup in job growth last month pushed this year's
average monthly payroll gain to 191,000, a pace economists
see as strong enough to slowly tighten the labor market.
The factory sector, which shed 4,000 workers last
month, was one of the only weak spots. However, the
Labor Department noted that an 11,000-job drop in
auto manufacturing reflected larger-than-normal temporary
plant shutdowns for retooling.
STRONG ECONOMY = HIGHER RATES
The report was the latest in a string of strong data
and the last significant piece of economic news before
Fed policy-makers meet next week.
Average hourly earnings shot up six cents, or 0.4
percent, in July -- the biggest rise in a year. However,
earnings are up just 2.7 percent over the past 12
months, suggesting wages have yet to become a big
inflationary concern.
"As far as the Fed is concerned, payrolls growth
is probably just about right -- not too hot and not
too cold," Paul Ashworth of Capital Economics
told clients in a research note.
Job growth was tepid at construction
firms, which brought on just 7,000 new workers, but
was strong on the service side of the economy.
Retailers added 50,000 workers,
the biggest gain in that sector since April 2000.
The strong retail hiring in part reflected job growth
at automobile dealers coping with a surge of shoppers
enticed by special incentives.
Professional and business service firms, education
and health service employers and the leisure and hospitality
industry all exhibited robust hiring.
In another spot of bright economic news, the independent
Economic Cycle Research Institute said on Friday its
leading index of the U.S. economy rose to a 12-week
last week. ECRI said the index suggested prospects
for U.S. economic growth were improving gradually.
The long-term interest rates which have been rising
steadily lately have started to affect the mortgage
rates which have also risen lately. If the United States
economy were a closed system, these interest rate hikes
would be nothing to worry about, but given the unpegging
of the Chinese Yuan from the dollar, which will add
considerable upward pressure on U.S. interest rates,
this is bad news which could lead to the bursting of
the housing bubble, thereby bringing down the world
economy. Notice in the above article that the rise in
the construction sector was very small, only 7,000 jobs.
Notice also that the strongest sector was retailing
- people spending money they shouldn't on new cars,
having been lured by incentives for 2005 models that
have hurt profits for auto companies while calling into
question the sales for 2006 models which will be introduced
soon.
30-year benchmark rises to 5.82
percent, Freddie Mac reports
The Associated Press
Updated: 1:21 p.m. ET Aug. 4, 2005
WASHINGTON - Mortgage rates continued their upward
climb this week, with rates on 30-year mortgages rising
to their highest point since the middle of April.
In its weekly survey, mortgage giant Freddie Mac
reported Thursday that rates on 30-year, fixed-rate
mortgages rose to a nationwide average of 5.82 percent,
up from 5.77 percent last week.
It marked the fifth week in a row
that rates on 30-year mortgages went up. This week's
increase left rates on 30-year mortgages at their
highest since they averaged 5.91 percent for the week
ending April 14.
Yet rates on 30-year mortgages are still considered
good and have stayed below 6 percent for all but two
weeks this year. That has helped to propel home sales
to record levels in June.
Rates on 15-year, fixed-rate mortgages, a popular
choice for refinancing a home mortgage, averaged 5.38
percent this week, compared with 5.34 percent last
week. This week's rate also was the highest since
the middle of April.
"Long-term mortgage rates will more than likely
rise over the next few months, albeit modestly compared
to shorter-term rates," predicted Frank Nothaft,
Freddie Mac's chief economist.
Given all this supposedly great economic news in the
United States, why do polls show that most people think
the economy is in bad shape? The following wire service
article provides a clue:
ST. LOUIS (Reuters) - Laid off from an auto factory
assembly line two weeks before Christmas, Gary Asnell
is still jobless and doesn't care to hear about the
virtues of retraining as he struggles to keep a roof
over his family's head.
"They say it's a great opportunity to go back
to school. But I've got to juggle to find a job to
pay the bills, make the house payments and feed the
children," said Asnell, a 44-year-old father
of three.
In the face of rabid global competition
and outsourcing of work to cheap-labor countries like
China, nearly three million American manufacturing
jobs have been lost since 2000.
Those at the sharp end of this process now often
face serious pay cuts or retraining to qualify for
jobs in industries that have vacancies which may still
not pay as much as they were making before.
In the heart of the U.S. Midwest,
St. Louis, Missouri was an archetypal factory town.
Twenty five years ago, 40 percent of all of its high-paying
jobs were in manufacturing, according to a March study
by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
But in the last 10 years, it has
lost 63,000 manufacturing jobs. Today, the industry
provides just 3 percent of all job vacancies, a recent
Job Openings Survey from the University of Missouri
found, while health care, social assistance and the
hospitality industry deliver 60 percent.
Getting a well-paid position in any of these areas
could easily demand a trip back to the classroom.
Even for the young, the process is tough.
Jessica Fitter was lucky. Just 22 years old, she
worked at the same plant as Asnell. She is now taking
a two-year accounting course and expresses optimism
about her future.
Yet even once she graduates, Fitter said the pay
will only just match what she made before, at least
until she gains more experience. Meanwhile, the loss
of income has been hard.
"Our budget took a big hit. We have to move,
we can't afford our place anymore," she said.
Her partner was laid off with her and is now making
much less building houses.
They were among 237 workers cut at Lear Corp. in
St. Louis when the company, which makes seats for
Ford and Lincoln SUVs, halved the assembly line shifts
last Dec. 17 as Ford slashed demand from a nearby
plant. As it happens, Ford Motor Co. is in the process
of shedding another 900 St. Louis workers.
Everyone who lost their job at Lear was offered the
chance to retrain. But this option does not appeal
to everyone.
"The curriculum, you need to do it, you just
don't have it anymore," said Asnell. "I
had the prerequisites 15-20 years ago, but I don't
now."
With his schooling a distant memory and bills to
pay right now, Asnell knows his well-paid union job
has vanished and the work that remains will pay barely
half as much.
"We were up to $19 an hour
(at Lear), but most of the jobs now pay $7-$8 an hour.
Ten bucks is considered the upper limit and if you
make $12 you're on top of the world," he said.
Of the 8,000 entry-level jobs identified in the University
of Missouri study, 45 percent paid less than $8 an
hour and the next 25 percent paid less than $15 an
hour.
Even if he wanted to take a lower-paid
job, Asnell finds that prospective employers don't
want to take the chance of hiring. He said they usually
look at how much he earned before, inform him that
he wouldn't be happy making less and close the interview.
NATIONAL CRISIS
Officials from President Bush on down somberly acknowledge
the process of globalization is sometimes painful
and demands a national effort to improve education
and skill development.
But among people dealing directly
with the fallout of this upheaval in the U.S. industrial
base, the truth for older workers is that their standards
of living may never recover.
At the state level, dedicated teams are working hard
to ease the transition back to work and can claim
some success.
"It really is walking someone through a grieving
process," said Donald Holt, executive director
in the St. Charles County, Missouri career center,
where many of the state's job losses from the and
auto industry have fallen.
His staff offer all manner of support for displaced
workers and will also pay for retraining up to a point.
Yet even with jobs available in the St. Louis area,
high demands for math and English literacy means that
workers who left school several decades ago often
have problems.
"It's an issue and we have to deal with it.
You run into it with your older clients... who went
in (to the factory) aged 18 and stayed for years.
It is very hard for them to go into just about any
occupation now without computer skills," Holt
said.
Any new job in modern manufacturing demands some
level of math and computing skills that many older
workers just do not possess. Not that there are many
manufacturing jobs out there.
Well-paid opportunities exist, particularly in health
care, but they demand a solid grasp of math, physics
and biology.
"In Kansas City, we had a pilot who went into
radiology -- we paid for the retraining -- and he's
started at $24 an hour. That's compared with $20 an
hour as a pilot," said Don Rahm, a work force
development specialist with the Missouri Department
of Economic Development.
Still for those who see little prospect
of making such a transition, there is a powerful sense
of abandonment and anger at a culture that has chewed
them up and spat them out.
"How much money do you
have to make to make you happy?" demanded Asnell.
"Sure, I understand how our economy works, but
how many people do you have to crush for your company
to be happy with what it is making?"
And, lest you think that these displaced workers don't
know as much as the experts, here is an expert with
his eye on the big picture:
Max Fraad Wolff is a Doctoral Candidate in Economics
at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst.
August 4, 2005
As second quarter numbers
are digested and expectations are ratcheted up, selective
focus reigns supreme. The Peoples Bank of China (PBoC)
decision to delink exclusively from the US Dollar,
and the most recent profit and personal income numbers
have gone unexamined and largely unpriced.
Despite all this, our dominant three indexes have
all underperformed our sub-accurate leading inflation
measures. That must be why so many are so confident
in their up revised prognostication. Just in case
major macro events still interest you, I have cobbled
together some thoughts on epic making recent developments
that are particularly hard to spot through rose colored
glasses and froth.
Personal income data, reported by the Bureau of Economic
Analysis (BEA) on August 02, 2005 was terrifying.
No, I don't mean that we have valiantly reached a
national savings rate of 0%, although that is truly
frightening. I mean that what everyone thinks of as
personal income went up .2% not .5% in June. Wage
and Salary disbursements went up a whopping .2% and
supplemental income went up an astonishing .3%. Ouch!
Where did the feds get that .5% headline number? Proprietors'
income with inventory valuation and capital compensation
adjustment was up a strong 2.0% in June. Proprietor's
income grew at 400% its three year average rate while
wage and salary income grew at 50% its anemic three
year growth rate. Buckle up American Business the
public is flush. Well, perhaps the next best thing,
they spent like they were. Perennially undeterred
by affordability, America went shopping for expensive
durable goods. June spending on these expensive items
came in just under 300% of its three year average
growth rate. I guess folks are bullish given housing's
great returns. Adjusted rental income was down 5.5%.
Now that the usual reports of beating expectations
are in for better than three quarters of the S&P500
we can do some taking of stock. Yes, most firms (60%)
beat expectations as they now do every quarter. Although
earnings growth was strong in the second quarter,
profit growth rates are decelerating and are expected
to continue to slow for the rest of this year.
No one is talking about an
ominous but interesting series of recent reports and
polls on Brand America. Business for Diplomatic Action,
a consortium of concerned business leaders, has been
raising concern and warning about a global turning
away. Several recent polls reveal a growing hostility
toward the US and this seems to be beginning to affect
the perception of our businesses. The Anholt-GMI National
Brands Index shows declining regard for the US outside
simply our foreign policy. Most recently the US ranked
11th for overall perception thanks to low opinions
of our culture and populace. A recent poll of 1004
Americans conducted by Foreign Affairs and Public
Agenda discovered that a clear majority of Americans
have become worried about the way America and her
citizens are perceived around the world. Will earnings
estimates remain immune to such sentiments?
Last but not least, the prestige and position of
the US dollar declined last month. The much anticipated
and quantitatively anti-climactic revaluation of the
Yuan slipped into the past tense on July 21, 2005.
While a modest 2.1% revaluation against the dollar
failed to impress many, the real story is China's
delinking, rapidly followed by Malaysia's decision
to follow suit. Although China's move was much trumpeted
as beneficial and a sign of our influence, I beg to
differ. China is almost as influential an importer
of raw materials as it is an exporter of finished
goods. I see no reason brutal internal competition
and the mortal need to grow exports may not result
in the pass through of import cost savings to lower
export prices. Where is that discussion? China and
other nations must now change the composition of their
currency reserves. They and Malaysia clearly need
to reallocate reserves away from the dollar. Who else
will follow? In addition, following on the rancorous
dispute- with much political involvement in both nations-
over Unocal, China's desire for contested global assets
and acquisition currency will only grow. What does
that portend?
In short, with just shy of
the 70% of 2005 in the history books, the consensus
is that all is well and getting better. Will this
subjective view soon be subject to revision?
Wolf has put his finger on the crucial issue: subjectivity
versus objectivity. People, cultures, and empires come
to grief if they remain in the grip of subjective thinking.
One symptom of this is the focus on oneself and the
ignoring of others. Subjective thinking can also lead
to wishful thinking, where bad news is discounted and
power leads one to conclude that things are the way
one wants them to be. The Thomas Friedman-type globalization
cheerleading is a good example. James Howard Kunstler
points out that 21st century globalization depends on
peace and cheap energy. Steel and cars are very heavy.
Transporting them halfway across the world used to cost
more than it did to produce the goods. According to
Kunstler, taking either leg of globalization away would
eliminate it:
Cheap energy and relative peace
helped create a false doctrine
James Howard Kunstler
Thursday August 4, 2005
The big yammer these days in the United States is
to the effect that globalisation is here to stay:
it's wonderful, get used to it. The chief cheerleader
for this point of view is Thomas Friedman, columnist
for the New York Times and author of The World Is
Flat. The seemingly unanimous
embrace of this idea in the power circles of America
is a marvelous illustration of the madness of crowds,
for nothing could be further from the truth than the
idea that globalisation is now a permanent fixture
of the human condition.
Today's transient global economic
relations are a product of very special transient
circumstances, namely relative world peace and absolutely
reliable supplies of cheap energy. Subtract either
of these elements from the equation and you will see
globalisation evaporate so quickly it will suck the
air out of your lungs. It is significant that none
of the cheerleaders for globalisation takes this equation
into account. In fact, the American power elite is
sleepwalking into a crisis so severe that the blowback
may put both major political parties out of business.
The world saw an earlier phase of robust global trade
run from the 1870s to a dead stop in 1914. This was
the boom period of railroad construction and the advent
of the ocean-going steamship. The great powers had
existed in relative peace since Napoleon's last stand.
The Crimean war was a minor episode that took place
in backwaters of Eurasia, and the Franco-Prussian
war was a comic opera that lasted less than a year
- most of it the static siege of Paris. The American
civil war hardly affected the rest of the world.
This first phase of globalisation then took off under
coal-and-steam power. There was no shortage of fuel,
the colonial boundaries were stable, and the pipeline
of raw materials from them to the factories of western
Europe ran smoothly. The rise of a middle class running
the many stages of the production process provided
markets for all the new production. Innovations in
finance gave legitimacy to all kinds of tradable paper.
Life was very good for Europe and America, notwithstanding
a few sharp cyclical depressions and recoveries. Trade
boomed between the great powers. The belle époque
represented the high tide of hopeful expectations.
In America, it was called the progressive era. The
20th century looked golden.
It all fell apart in 1914. Historians
are still baffled about what really brought on the
first world war. What did France or Britain really
care about Austrian archduke Franz Ferdinand, heir
to the throne of a country already in deep eclipse?
There were no active contests over territory at the
time, not even in the Asian or African colonies. And
yet the diplomatic failures of that fateful summer
led to the great slaughter of the trenches, the death
of a substantial portion of the younger generation,
and a virtual nervous breakdown of authority in politics
and culture. It would take a depression, fascism,
and a second world war to resolve these issues and
a new round of globalisation did not ramp up again
until the mid-1960s.
It may be significant that the first
collapse of globalisation occurred as the coal economy
was transitioning into an oil economy, with deep geo-political
implications for who had oil (America) and those who
might seek to control the other major region closest
to Europe that possessed it (then the Caspian, since
Arabian oil was as yet undiscovered). The first world
war was settled by those nations (Britain and France)
that were friendly with the greatest producer of oil
most readily accessed. Germany was the loser and again
in the reprise for its poor access to oil. Japan suffered
similarly.
We are now due for another folding up of the periodic
global trade fair as the industrial nations enter
the tumultuous era beyond the global oil production
peak, which I have named the long emergency. The economic
distortions and perversities that have built up in
the current era are not hard to see, though our leaders
dread to acknowledge them. The dirty secret of the
US economy for at least a decade now is that it has
come to be based on the ceaseless elaboration of a
car-dependent suburban infrastructure - McHousing
estates, eight-lane highways, big-box chain stores,
hamburger stands - that has no future as a living
arrangement in an oil-short future.
The American suburban juggernaut
can be described succinctly as the greatest misallocation
of resources in the history of the world. The mortgages,
bonds, real estate investment trusts and derivative
financial instruments associated with this tragic
enterprise must make the judicious goggle with wonder
and nausea.
Add to this grim economic picture a far-flung military
contest, already under way, really, for control of
the world's remaining oil, and the scene grows darker.
Two-thirds of that oil is in the possession of people
who resent the west (America in particular), many
of whom have vowed to destroy it. Both America and
Britain have felt the sting of freelance asymmetrical
war-makers not associated with a particular state
but with a transnational religious cause that uses
potent small arms and explosives to unravel western
societies and confound their defences.
China, a supposed beneficiary of globalisation, will
be as desperate for oil as all the other players,
and perhaps more ruthless in seeking control of the
supplies, some of which they can walk to. Of course,
it is hard to imagine the continuation of American
chain stores' manufacturing supply lines with China,
given the potential for friction. Even on its own
terms, China faces issues of environmental havoc,
population overshoot, and political turmoil - orders
of magnitude greater than anything known in Europe
or America.
Viewed through this lens,
the sunset of the current phase of globalisation seems
dreadfully close to the horizon. The American public
has enjoyed the fiesta, but the blue-light special
orgy of easy motoring, limitless air-conditioning,
and super-cheap products made by factory slaves far
far away is about to close down. Globalisation is
finished. The world is about to become a larger place
again.
By GILLIAN WONG
Associated Press
Mon Aug 8, 1:07 AM ET
SINGAPORE - Crude futures rose
to a new high of $62.69 in Asian trading Monday as the
U.S. government announced the closure of its embassy
and consulates in Saudi Arabia due to security threats
and on continued concerns that earlier shutdowns of
U.S. oil refineries would reduce supply.
Midmorning in Singapore, light, sweet crude for September
delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose as
high as $62.69 in Asian electronic trading before slipping
back to $62.51. On Friday, crude settled at U$62.31
a barrel, a record close for crude since Nymex trading
began in 1983.
That's 42 percent higher than a year
ago, though crude prices would have to surpass $90 to
reach the inflation-adjusted high set in 1980.
Gasoline edged up slightly to $1.8415 a gallon while
heating oil rose marginally to $1.7390 a gallon.
The market was on edge as traders
closely monitored geopolitical developments in Saudi
Arabia following Sunday's announcement of a security
threat against U.S. government buildings. A week
ago, the death of the country's king also rocked markets,
even though many analysts believe there will be little
long-term change in the oil policies of Saudi Arabia,
the world's biggest petroleum producer.
The planned closure Monday and Tuesday of the U.S.
Embassy in Riyadh and consulates in Jiddah and Dhahran
was "in response to a threat against U.S. government
buildings" in the kingdom, the embassy said, adding
it would also limit nonofficial travel of its mission
personnel.
In a statement, it urged Americans residing in the
world's largest oil producing and exporting country
to keep "a high level of vigilance," but did
not elaborate on the nature of the threat.
Hours after the announcement,
a Saudi Interior Ministry spokesman, Maj. Gen. Mansour
al-Turki, said his government had no information about
a possible threat. [...]
Former Foreign Secretary Robin
Cook, who quit government over the Iraq war, has collapsed
on a Scottish mountainside.
Thereafter he was flown by coastguard helicopter to
Raigmore Hospital in Inverness, where he died on Saturday
evening, police said.
However, the idea is already
being mooted that he was, like Dr
David Kelly, 'taken out'
by covert assassination.
Robin Cook had quit as Commons leader in March 2003,
in protest over the war in Iraq. He
had been one of the most outspoken and prominent critics
of Blair's stance on Iraq.
The Scottish MP, who lived in Edinburgh, was a keen
walker and cyclist and until now his health was said
to have been in good health.
Mr Cook, who first became an MP for Edinburgh Central
in 1974, was appointed the shadow health secretary in
1989 and became the shadow trade and industry secretary
in 1992.
In 1997 he became foreign secretary,
a position he held until 2001 when he was replaced by
Jack Straw after openly oppossing Blair's stance on
Iraq.
He had been an outspoken critic of the government's
foreign policy from the backbench and speculation is
growing that he was seen as an impediment to further
moves in the "War on Terror", in particular
an expansion of the war into Iran or Syria.
A post mortem examination is expected
to be carried out to determine the cause of the death
of former Foreign Secretary Robin Cook.
Mr Cook, 59, collapsed while on a walking holiday with
wife Gaynor in northern Scotland on Saturday and was
pronounced dead after being airlifted to hospital some
90 minutes later.
It is thought that the Livingston
MP may have collapsed with a heart attack and then injured
himself as he fell.
"ICH" -- "I am utterly
against the punishing of innocent people for the crimes
of the guilty, whether it is done on the underground
of London or the streets of Falluja by George Bush's
air force". George Galloway MP
George Galloway is quite a guy.
His trip to the Middle East is causing a ruckus back
in London, where his criticism of Bush and Blair is
appearing like a spread-sheet on the front-page of the
tabloids.
Congrats, George; those two deserve a good lambasting.
Yesterday he fired-off another barrage, landing a direct
hit on Prime Minister Milquetoast and his Texas-twin.
He said, "There's far more
blood on the hands of George Bush and Tony Blair than
there is on the hands of the murderers who killed those
people in London."
Ka-boom! Right on target.
Galloway was stellar; praising the Iraqi resistance
as "martyrs" and telling them that they "are
not just defending Iraq, but defending the whole world
against American hegemony."
Bulls-eye.
Galloway's comments drew attention to the young men
who are swarming to Iraq to fight what he calls the
"foreign invaders". They're normally disparaged
by the pro-war crowd in the press like Tom Friedman
who calls them a "jihadist death-cult"
What rubbish. Friedman should skip
the name-calling and try to figure out who these guys
really are. Men don't simply throw away their lives
for no reason. It is the injustice of the American occupation
that has the swollen the ranks of the Iraqi resistance.
Galloway knows that and so does Friedman when he's
not shoveling manure into the "paper of record".
Imagine, for a moment, that the US
was invaded by an army from Saudi Arabia for the transparent
purpose of securing America's great natural wealth.
And, imagine that tens of thousands of American people
were killed in that invasion, entire cities were leveled
as reprisal for resisting, and scores of Americans were
tortured and humiliated in the most despicable manner.
What type of man would risk his own
life to travel to the United States to fight for the
liberation of the American people from Saudi oppression?
A terrorist or a martyr?
Forget the media hype about suicide bombers targeting
innocent Iraqis. Communiqués from the resistance
have repeatedly refuted those claims saying they do
not attack Iraqi civilians, only the occupiers and their
collaborators in the Iraqi security services.
Who're we going to believe; the Pentagon?
Galloway nailed it when he said, "These poor Iraqis,
ragged people with their sandals, with their Kalashnikovs,
with the lightest most basic weapons-are writing the
names of their cities and towns in the stars, with 145
military operations every day which has made the country
ungovernable."
Game; Set; Match.
Galloway can expect to be roundly throttled for his
remarks, but the truth is out and can't be undone. The
Iraqi resistance is the frontlines in the war against
American global domination. They're doing the fighting
in the trenches while Americans continue to stumble
around in their perpetual state of amnesia.
Can't Americans see their civil
liberties being methodically savaged by Bush's rubber-stamp
Congress? Will it take a decree of martial law to wake
them up to this "gathering threat" emerging
from the Bush White House? We should applaud
Galloway's willingness to state the obvious; that the
men who have taken up arms in Iraq are engaged in a
life-or-death struggle against a neo-liberal cancer
that is menacing the entire world.
Those who doubt what I say should consider Blair's
news conference yesterday, where he rattled-off a whole
new list of repressive measures to be directed at Muslims.
Mimicking his Crawford mentor,
Blair has decided that he has the right to unilaterally
make law from his perch at 10 Downing St. without the
consent of Parliament. The fatuous PM now claims the
power to close down mosques, deport, clerics and shut
down web sites where the views don't meet the dubious
standards of the state. Additionally, Israeli trained
police-units have been deployed on London's streets
with orders to "shoot to kill" terror suspects
(or fleeing Brazilians) if there is a perceived risk
to public safety.
Who gave this unctuous, lying politician the right
to declare martial law on Muslims?
Who gave this foppish phony the license to issue Nazi-type
edicts that eviscerate basic civil liberties?
The British people would be foolish to let the wildly-unpopular
Blair get away with this monumental power-grab.
85% of the British people already
agree that the London bombings were the direct result
of Blair's involvement in Iraq. Similarly, every
terrorist-expert on the planet; including analysts at
M15, the CIA, and the Israeli Mossad, have supported
that very same conclusion. So, why should the victims
of Blair's bungled aggression be the same one's who
are collectively punished?
Comment: Let's
stop and think about this for a minute. 85% of the British
people believe that the London bombings were the direct
result of Blair's involvement in Iraq as Bush's lapdog.
MI5, the CIA, and the Mossad all agree with this assessment.
Given that the train bombings in Madrid had all the
"fingerprints" of Mossad, and that the CIA
has been rendering prisoners to countries that practice
torture since 1995, why should we listen to them at
all? Aren't such agencies a huge part of the problem
in the so-called War on Terror?
It makes one wonder just how much
of a roll MI5 might have played in the London bombings.
The London bombings were sloppy compared to the 9/11
attacks. If 9/11 was a false-flag operation carried
out primarily by the Mossad, MI5 could certainly have
crafted the London bombings at the particular time that
Blair needed a boost to pass his new fascist laws. Then,
after the attacks, they come out in support of the 85%
that think the bombings were acts committed by Arab
terrorists, of course. They don't want anyone pointing
the finger their way...
It's Blair who should be manacled and led away to the
stocks, not the Muslims who already are suffering the
blowback from his apocryphal war on terror.
No one in their right mind believes
that Blair conjured up these new restrictions. His job
is to simply recite his lines for the teleprompter and
make sure his eye-shadow and silk-shirt are in order.
It's the big-money elites behind Blair that have their
sights on personal liberty, just as they do in America
and Australia. (Australia's Howard is trying to enact
similar legislation right now) These are the 3 stooges
of the international corporate-banking cabal; the tawdry
courtesans of the global parasite-class.
Just listen to Zbigniew Brzezinski, founder of the
Trilateral Commission, former board-member of the Council
on Foreign Relations, former Co-Chair of the Bush National
Security Task Force, and all-around foot-soldier for
American elites. Brzezinski is comfortably lodged at
the very center of an elite cadre of nutcases who have
been pushing for the New World Order (One world government)
for over 20 years. His comments reflect the prevailing
views of the main actors in the Bush-Blair-Howard governments.
"It is also a fact that America is too democratic
at home to be autocratic abroad. This limits the use
of America's power, especially its capacity for military
intimidation. Never before has a populist democracy
attained international supremacy. But the pursuit of
power is not a goal that commands popular passion, except
in conditions of a sudden threat or challenge to the
public's sense of domestic well-being. The economic
self-denial (that is, defense spending) and the human
sacrifice (casualties, even among professional soldiers)
required in the effort are uncongenial to democratic
instincts. Democracy is inimical to imperial mobilization."
("The Grand Chessboard; p.35)
"Too democratic"?
"Democracy is inimical to imperial mobilization."?
Brzezinski hates democracy every bit as much as the
men who back Blair. They've concluded that they can
pretty well dispose of personal liberty in a few years
by taking advantage terrorist attacks, exploiting public
hysteria, and crafting a media narrative that supports
the crushing of individual freedom.That's
why we should take these new anti-Islam laws for what
they really are; a forerunner to the repressive measures
that will be applied to everyone without discrimination
in the very near future.
Can anyone seriously doubt this after seeing the pattern
of the last 5 years?
That's why we need guys like Galloway
who'll stand up and take a few hardy swings at the scoundrels
in power. His words put a little steel in everyone's
spine; and we're going to need it, too. There's plenty
of bad road ahead.
Comment: There
are a number of people in the US and Britain
who are standing up to the Bush and Blair regimes, but
their numbers are pitifully small. It seems that the
fear tactics and stories of torture have worked well
to shut up the rest of the population...
CRAWFORD, Texas - The angry mother
of a fallen U.S. soldier staged a protest near President
Bush's ranch Saturday, demanding an accounting from
Bush of how he has conducted the war in
Iraq.
Supported by more than 50 demonstrators who chanted,
"W. killed her son!" Cindy Sheehan told reporters:
"I want to ask the president, 'Why did you kill
my son? What did my son die for?'" Sheehan,
48, didn't get to see Bush, but did talk about 45 minutes
with national security adviser Steve Hadley and deputy
White House chief of staff Joe Hagin, who went out to
hear her concerns.
Appreciative of their attention, yet undaunted, Sheehan
said she planned to continue her roadside vigil, except
for a few breaks, until she gets to talk to Bush. Her
son, Casey, 24, was killed in Sadr City, Iraq, on April
4, 2004. He was an Army specialist, a Humvee mechanic.
"They (the advisers) said we
are in Iraq because they believed
Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, that
the world's a better place with Saddam gone and that
we're making the world a safer place with what we're
doing over there," Sheehan said in a telephone
interview after the meeting.
"They were very respectful. They
were nice men. I told them Iraq was not a threat to
the United States and that now people are dead for nothing.
I told them I wouldn't leave until I talked to George
Bush."
She said Hagin told her, "I want to assure you
that he (Bush) really does care."
"And I said if he does care, why
doesn't he come out and talk to me."
Sheehan arrived in Crawford aboard a bus painted red,
white and blue and emblazoned with the words, "Impeachment
Tour." Sheehan, from Vacaville, Calif., had been
attending a Veterans for Peace convention in Dallas.
The bus, trailed by about 20 cars of protesters and
reporters, drove at about 15 mph toward Bush's ranch.
After several miles, they parked the vehicles and began
to march, in stifling heat, farther down the narrow
country road.
Flanked by miles of pasture, Sheehan spoke with reporters
while clutching two photographs, one of her son in uniform,
and the other, a baby picture, when he was seven months
old.
She said she decided to come to Crawford a few days
ago after Bush said that fallen U.S. troops had died
for a noble cause and that the mission must be completed.
"I want to ask the president,
'Why did you kill my son? What did my son die for?"
she said, her voice cracking with emotion. "Last
week, you said my son died for a noble cause' and I
want to ask him what tha